Germany: the demographic change is going to disrupt the labor market

Fast drop in the number of youth in the East. According to the Bertelsmann Foundation, eastern Länder will be most badly hit by this demographic evolution, which is a result of the drop in birth rate after the reunification in October 1990, among other things. By 2015, the number of 19-24 year-olds will this decrease by 51.89% in Mecklenburg, 50.08% in Thuringia, 49.34% in Saxony-Anhalt, 48.87% in Saxony, 44.29% in Brandenburg and 24.54% in Berlin. The west isn’t going to be spared by this phenomenon but it will be more integral and slower depending on the regions. Thus, by 2025, the number of 19-24 year-olds will drop by 26% in Saarland, 19% in Rhineland-Palatinate, 18% in Bremen and 17% in North Rhine-Westphalia. Other Lander such as Bavaria, Hessen, Bade-Wurttemberg or Hamburg should be less affected. Meanwhile, the number of older people will highly increase. Thus, by 2025, the number of active 45-64 year-olds will increase by around 1.4 million while the number of active 25-44 year-olds will decline by 3.7 million.
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be more integral and slower depending on the regions. Thus, by 2025, the number of 19-24 year-olds will drop by 26% in Saarland, 19% in Rhineland-Palatinate, 18% in Bremen and 17% in North Rhine-Westphalia.

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